Event Speakers
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Nils Oppelstrup
Nils Oppelstrup
Volvo Car Mobility,

COO
Aigul Mangibayeva
Aigul Mangibayeva
Burger King Kazakhstan

Head of Supply Chain

Aigul currently works as Head of Supply Chain at Burger King Kazakhstan where she leads operative and strategic management of the supply chain including materials planning, procurement strategy, supply chain structure and more. Prior to joining Burger King, Aigul worked as Supply chain Manager at Bosch Siemens Home Appliances, Demand Planner for Central Asia and Caucasus at Beiersdorf Kazakhstan, and as Supply Planner at Philip Morris Kazakhstan. She holds two Master’s degrees, one in Supply Chain from Edinburgh Business School, and one in Supply Chain Management from Moscow Business School. She is currently studying an MBA at Edinburgh.

Jan E. Steuber
Jan E. Steuber
Bristol-Myers Squibb

Director of Global Demand Planning

Jan Steuber is the Director of Global Demand Planning in the Enterprise Strategy Analytics organization at Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS). Jan’s career at BMS has included roles in demand consolidation, market forecasting, master data management and strategic planning and decision analysis. These roles mainly support demand forecasting and budget alignment at regional and global level. Prior to BMS, Jan was at Mars Inc. and SABMiller where he held various roles in European Supply Chain Transformation, Forecasting Center of Excellence, as well as Global S&OP Design team. Jan holds a Bachelor’s in Economics majoring in Marketing from the University of Zurich and a Master’s in Economics majoring in Innovation Management from the University of Applied Science, Zurich.

Walco Verbiest
Walco Verbiest
Lamb Weston Meijer

Customer Supply Manager

Walco is currently employed at Lamb Weston Meijer as the Customer Supply Manager. In this role he is responsible for Demand Planning, Sales Inventory Planning/Safety Stock Planning and Customer Supply Collaboration Initiatives, and leads a team of 4 people. His previous roles include Demand Manager, Supply Chain Improvement Specialist and Supply Planner, all at the same company. Walco started at this global, Netherland-based food manufacturer in 2008 after he finished a Master’s in Econometrics & Management Science at the Erasmus University in Rotterdam. He also worked as a consultant for OM Partners whilst studying his master’s degree.

Ugo Carolyn Ogwo
Ugo Carolyn Ogwo
Suntory Beverage & Food Ltd

S&OP Manager

Ugo Carolyn Ogwo is the S&OP Manager for Suntory Beverage and Food within the European Business Unit. Based in Amsterdam, Ugo is responsible for the design and implementation of S&OP processes across Suntory Markets in Africa, the Middle East and Caribbean. Prior to this, Ugo was Head of Supply Chain Planning for Suntory Beverage and Food in Nigeria. In that role, she singlehandedly designed and implemented the Nigeria business S&OP process and runs the monthly S&OP cycle in collaboration with other stakeholders. Other markets where she has successfully deployed S&OP process include Kenya, Trinidad and Morocco. Ugo started her S&OP journey in October 2011 as Demand Planning Manager at GlaxoSmithKline in Nigeria and was promoted to the role of Head of Demand Forecasting looking after the West Africa business. She holds a Master’s in Engineering from The University of Nigeria, and an MBA from IE business school in Madrid.

Mihaela Rusen
Mihaela Rusen
Sibelco

Project Manager Demand Planning

Mihaela is Project Manger, Demand Planning at Sibelco, where she is responsible for rolling out the demand planning process across Europe and serves as project manager for the implementation of the OM Partners forecasting tool. She has 10 years of business planning experience across 3 industries (materials, automotive and pharma) covering sales forecasting, budgeting and 5-year planning. Prior to Sibelco, she worded as EMEA Demand & Supply Specialist for QIAGEN and as Global Marketing Specialist and Global Demand Planner for Honeywell Friction Materials. Mihaela holds Bachelor’s and Master’s degrees in Marketing and is APICS CPIM certified.

Sammy Desmet
Sammy Desmet
Maxeda DIY Group

Demand Manager Benelux

Sammy is currently Benelux Demand Manager for Maxeda DIY Group where he leads supply chain organization for related categories and the implementation of ERP systems software, as well as managing the integrated supply chain. Prior to joining Maxeda, Sammy worked as Sr. Demand & Supply Planner with a focus on S&OP at Friesland Campina Belgium, as Sr. Demand Planner at Unilever, as Junior Value Added Service Manager at Eurobrokers N.V. and Export Coordinator at Ingersoll Rand. He holds Bachelor's Degrees in Expedition, Distribution & Transportation, and Marketing, from Hogeschool voor Wetenschap & Kunst University in Belgium, and holds a certification in Total Quality. He is APICS certified.

Jonathon Karelse
Jonathon Karelse
Factors Group of Nutritional Companies

Chief Strategy Officer
Jonathon’s professional career has consisted of leadership roles in transportation, finance and health products, beginning in supply chain and demand planning roles and culminating in a vice president position in strategic planning and corporate development. Currently, he functions as the Chief Strategy Officer at the Factors Group of Nutritional Companies. He is a recognized thought leader in demand planning and is co-founding partner of the S&OP consultancy NorthFind Partners. Jonathon has been a long-term contributor to the IBF’s body of knowledge, with a specific focus on forecasting metrics and diagnostics and forecast value-add. He studied economics at the University of Western Ontario before moving to Vancouver to study law at the University of British Columbia. Jonathon went on to study operations and value chain management at the MIT Sloan School of Management.
Chris Turner
Chris Turner
StrataBridge

Co-Founder
Chris works with a range of clients worldwide, across industry sectors, on strategy development, innovation and joined-up decision-making. A highly respected facilitator, Chris has a unique ability to understand and simplify complex business issues and opportunities and translate these into action. He has worked with leadership teams around the world, helping them to articulate, share and realize their strategies through aligning the organization, integrating decision-making and capability building.
Eric Wilson, CPF
Eric Wilson, CPF
Escalade Sports

Director of Planning
Eric is a predictive analytics and business planning innovator, author, and speaker. He is the Director of Demand Planning at Escalade Sports. Prior to this he worked as the Director of Demand Planning at Berry Plastics, and Director of Demand Planning & S&OP at Tempur Sealy International. In 2016, he received the Excellence in Business Forecasting & Planning award from the IBF. He is a Certified Professional Forecaster (CPF) with over 20 years of experience. Eric is a visionary in his field, a frequent speaker and panelist for many executive forums and professional conferences, and has written numerous articles in publications such as The Journal of Business Forecasting and APICS Magazine. He is also the author of the book Cultural Cycles.
Mary Tan, CPF
Mary Tan, CPF
Institute of Business Forecasting & Planning

Sr. Consultant/Facilitator
Mary Tan is an accomplished demand planning professional with over 20 years’ Supply Chain leadership experience. She has a track record of driving substantial improvements in operating performance through E2E Supply Chain Planning, Executive S&OP management and building world-class planning teams. She has held various key leadership roles in the Technology, FMCG and Pharmaceutical industries in companies such as GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Schneider Electric, Flextronics, Pfizer Nutrition, Cisco Systems, SCM Microsystems and HP. Her most recent roles were as Regional Director of Demand Planning and S&OP at GSK and Schneider Electric. She holds a bachelor’s degree in Commerce from Murdoch University and a diploma in Mechanical Engineering from Ngee Ann Polytechnic. Mary is also a Certified Professional Forecaster (CPF) from IBF.
Thorsten Mebs
Thorsten Mebs
Clariant Plastics & Coatings GmbH

Global Manager Integrated Business Planning

Thorsten is Global Manager Integrated Business Planning at BU Pigments of Clariant, the world´s leading organic Pigments manufacturer. Here he is responsible for the company’s transition from S&OP to IBP. He has broad experience across the entire Logistics & Supply Chain having worked in various functions and leadership roles in the Chemical & Pharmaceutical Industry, his experience covering roles within Procurement Logistics, Material Planning, Transport Management and being Head of Imports as well as Head of Supply Chain Management. He has successfully developed strong capabilities in strategic and conceptual design of Supply Chains End-to-End (e.g. Organization, Planning, Processes and People). Thorsten is a certified professional forwarding agent and a certified expert in Logistics Management. He holds a Diploma in Business Administration of the University of Applied Science in Mainz, Germany.

Geoffrey Stamper
Geoffrey Stamper
Bristol-Myers Squibb

Director, R&D Portfolio Optimization and Global Demand Planning
Geoff Stamper is the Director of R&D Portfolio Optimization and Global Demand Planning in the Enterprise Strategy Analytics organization at Bristol-Myers Squibb. Geoff’s career at BMS has included roles in strategic forecasting, market forecasting, and strategic planning and decision analysis. These roles supported revenue forecasting of both pipeline and inline brands. Prior to BMS, Geoff was at Abbott Laboratories where he held roles in the discovery organization as a scientist and in the R&D portfolio management organization as a decision analyst. Geoff has a bachelor’s degree in Biochemistry from the University of Missouri and a doctorate in Biophysics from Brandeis University.
Robert Langenhuizen
Robert Langenhuizen
Driscoll’s

Manager, Integrated Business Planning
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    Why Attend

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    About Us

Reserve Your Space Without Obligation

This was my first IBF conference and I'm discovering the IBF world. I thought it was a very good event. I loved the networking and sharing among practitioners. I am taking away a lot of ideas for making this move in my own organization.
A. Solis Gil, Business Collaborative Processes Director, Schneider Electric
  • Join the largest gathering of global professionals from all industries with S&OP/IBP, Demand Planning, Supply Chain, Forecasting, and Analytics responsibilities in Europe
  • Meet other professionals from Sales, Marketing, Finance, HR, Executive Management, and other key functions in the S&OP/ IBP process
  • Learn how to bring change to your organization for better S&OP and operations planning
  • Bring your organization to best-in-class levels in performance through better business planning & forecasting
  • Learn step-by-step from lessons learned and case studies shared by well-known global companies
  • Get instant feedback on your specific challenges and truly network during our Round-Robin Round-Table Discussions
  • Enjoy further networking during our after conference cocktail reception
  • Take advantage before or after the conference of our exceptional location in the heart of central Amsterdam
  • All this and more
See What our Participants are Saying
Event Speakers
Show all Speakers
Nils Oppelstrup
Volvo Car Mobility,
COO
Aigul Mangibayeva
Burger King Kazakhstan
Head of Supply Chain
Jan E. Steuber
Bristol-Myers Squibb
Director of Global Demand Planning
Conference Schedule
  • Pre-Conference Workshop
    Nov 20, 2019
  • Conference Day 1
    Nov 21, 2019
  • Conference Day 2
    Nov 22, 2019
  • Exam Day
    Nov 23, 2019
IBF Members Only
8:00 AM - 9:00 AM
Morning Refreshments & Tutorial Registration
9:00 AM - 4:00 PM
1-DAY FUNDAMENTALS OF DEMAND PLANNING & FORECASTING TUTORIAL (IBF MEMBERS ONLY– FREE)

MORNING | 9:00 AM–12:10 PM

ROLE OF FORECASTING IN THE ORGANIZATION

  • Benefits and its impact on supply chain, management decisions, financial plans
  • Responsibilities/Accountability
  • Consensus development and management support
  • Relationship to other decision and planning processes
  • Cross-function participation and involvement

S&OP & FORECASTING PROCESS

  • Process design and interfaces
  • Cross-functional involvement and consensus building
  • Forecaster competencies & skills
  • Forecast user Information needs
  • Risk and error tolerances

FORECAST ERROR MEASUREMENT

  • Importance of error measurement and analysis
  • Sources and remediation of error
  • Interpretation and application of error metrics
  • Mean Absolute % Error (MAPE)
  • Weighted Mean Absolute % Error (WMAPE)
  • Error analysis and cost of error

DATA MANAGEMENT AND DATA CLEANING

  • Data identification and definition
  • Structure of time series data
  • Data collection and analysis
  • Identifying and adjusting for anomalies

12:15 PM–1:15 PM | LUNCH


AFTERNOON | 1:20 PM–4:30 PM

HOW TO FORECAST WITH TIMES SERIES MODELS – THE MOST WIDELY USED METHOD OF FORECASTING

  • Importance of pattern identification
  • Time series model development
  • When to use time series models
  • Advantages and disadvantages of time series
  • Event adjustments and when to use
  • Underlying assumptions
  • Widely used time series methods – averages, naïve model, exponential smoothing, decomposition, trend, seasonal, and other time series methods

HOW TO FORECAST WITH REGRESSION ANALYTICS – FORECASTING AND EVALUATING CAUSES OF VARIATION IN DEMAND

  • When to use Regression
  • Advantages and disadvantages
  • How to build a regression model for demand
  • Application in estimating effects of promotions, pricing, advertising, and other program actions
  • Using regression methods in conjunction with time series forecasting

NEW PRODUCT FORECASTING – FORECASTING OVER LONGER TIME PERIODS WITH GREATER UNKNOWNS

  • Challenges of New Product Forecasting
  • Opportunity identification and evaluation
  • Product lifecycle structure and estimation
  • Qualitative forecasting methods
  • Diffusion models
  • Quantitative forecasting methods
  • Expected error and accuracy

MS-EXCEL will be Used for Demonstration Exercises. Bring Along Your Laptop (Optional)

author
Jeff Baker, CPF
Institute of Business Forecasting & PlanningEducation Advisor
author
Mary Tan, CPF
Institute of Business Forecasting & PlanningSr. Consultant/Facilitator
9:00 AM - 4:00 PM
Fundamentals Of Demand Planning & Forecasting Tutorial (IBF MEMBERS ONLY)
Pricing
Super Early Bird Rate
(Expires in 89 days, 6 hours)
S&OP & Forecasting Conference
21-22 November 2019
Cocktail Reception
21 November 2019
Refreshments & Lunch
IBF Membership
(1 Year)
Forecasting Tutorial
20 November 2019 (IBF Members Only)
IBF CPF Certification Exams
Fundamentals Of Demand Planning & Forecasting Book
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August 12 – 13, 2019
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Event Location
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